Real Estate

The Truth Behind Case-Shiller Claim of Housing Recovery

Using data compiled in December, Standard & Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down just 2.5% on an annual basis, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.

According to Case-Shiller representatives, the housing market is “in better shape than it was this time last year”, but some of the summer’s momentum has been lost. 15 of 20 tracked markets declined in value between November and December 2009.

Meanwhile, it’s interesting to note the 5 markets that didn’t decline — Detroit, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego.  Each of these metro regions were among the hardest hit nationwide when home prices first broke.  Now, they’re leading the pack in price recovery.

For some real estate investors, that’s a positive signal.  But we also have to consider the Case-Shiller Index’s flaws because they’re big ones.

As examples:

1. Case-Shiller data is reported on a 2-month lag
2. The Case-Shiller sample set includes just 20 U.S. cities
3. There’s no “national real estate market” — real estate is local

That said, the Case-Shiller Index is still important. As the most widely-used private sector housing index, Case-Shiller helps to identify broader housing trends and many people believe housing is a key element in the economic recovery.

If the markets that led the housing decline will lead the housing resurgence, December’s data shows that full recovery is right around the corner.

Contact James K Barath in Northwest Indiana to Qualify for Your FREE FHA Home Loan Approval Today!

Real Estate

Simple Real Estate Definitions: Quitclaim Deed

By its most common definition, a quitclaim deed is a document by which one person passes legal and financial ownership of a home to another person.

It’s also a way for an owner of a home to remove himself from the title to the property.

Often misspelled as “quick claim deed” or “quit claim deed”, quitclaim deeds have a multitude of applications, including:

• Assigning a home to a trust or entity
• Adding a partner to title after marriage
• Removing a partner from title after divorce

In order to quitclaim a property, the grantor must have the legal right to assign the property to a grantee, or else the quitclaim deed is worthless.  For example, you can’t quitclaim your interest in City Hall to your neighbor because you don’t actually own City Hall. 

This is where quitclaim deeds vary from warranty deeds (or grant deeds) — the types of transfers that occur when real estate is sold.  In instances of the former, the title to a home is guaranteed to be clear.

Before using a quitclaim deed on your own home, consult an estate planning attorney.  Transferring real property can ruin a will, or trigger taxes — it’s important to consult a professional for help.

Need more expert advice? Ask the team of Certified Mortgage Planning Specialists at Benchmark Mortgage.

Real Estate

Why Home Prices Are Almost Certain To Rise This Fall

In what’s becoming a regular occurrence, housing data blew away economists expectations Tuesday.

As reported by the National Association of Realtors®, the Pending Home Sales Index posted its 6th consecutive monthly gain in July.

After a meteoric rise that started in January, the index is now at its highest levels in more than 2 years.

A “pending home sale” is a home that is under contract to sell, but not yet closed.  It’s not the same as an actual home sold, but data shows that nearly 80% of homes under contract close within 2 months and many more close in months 3 and 4.

Home buyers — take note.  When the Pending Home Sales Index is rising, it means that market activity has picked up.  This can lead to any one, or a combination, of the following:

1. Multiple-offer situations
2. Reduced negotiation leverage over sellers
3. Higher home sale prices with fewer concessions

So, consider yourself alerted.  If you’re buying a home in the next several months, expect the recent run in Pending Sales to lead to a run in closed sales, too.  That should lead home prices higher in most markets.

Indeed, we’re already seeing it.  Case-Shiller says prices are on the upswing.

Real Estate

National Real Estate Data Lumps 128,203,000 Homes in America into 1 Data Set

National real estate data helps economists identify trends in the housing market. It shapes policy and influences markets.

For active home buyers and home sellers, though, national real estate data is irrevelant. This is because national data says nothing for the factors determining home prices in any given zip code.

See, national real estate news is mash-up of data. It’s 128,203,000 homes from all 50 states. Each of these states has its own economy and there are different factors that drive home values in each.

Most Americans understand this.

But, if we dig deeper, we see that within those states, there are more than 19,000 incorporated cities — plus thousands of unincorporated ones. And like the 50 states, city-to-city home values vary by economy, too.

Furthermore, each city is comprised of areas, and those areas can be broken down into neighborhoods and then sub-divided again into streets, with blocks.

It’s apparent that a random home in Alabama can’t be compared to a random home in California. Yet, that comparison is exactly what you’re getting with national real estate data and why we can’t rely on it to say “values are up” or “values are down”.

Values depend on what’s happening locally.

For buyers and sellers, the underlying goal is to meet at “the right price”. To reach that sort of price discovery, you have to look local.

It’s not as easy as it sounds.

Local real estate trends is a topic that’s too narrow to be covered by the national press. It’s even too narrow for local papers. Therefore, buyers and sellers have two places to turn:

1. A general real estate website
2. A practicing real estate agent

Using both sources for local data is common among today’s buyers and sellers.

National real estate news offers little value with respect to home price negotiation. Because all real estate is local, your real estate data should be, too.

Real Estate

A Great Combination: Too Many Homes For Sale And Low Mortgage Rates

For the first time in over a year, the sales of “used homes” fell below the 5-million unit trendline, helping to push the total home inventory higher by 0.1 percent nationwide.

Based on the rate at which homes are selling nationwide, it would take 11.2 months for the existing housing supply to be exhausted.

For home buyers, this is an opportune time for negative news on housing.

First, sellers know that between now and the Super Bowl, housing activity will be light. The general scarcity of buyers may force a seller to accept a bid he wouldn’t have accepted otherwise.

Second, the economy is showing weakness and that, too, can concern a home seller. Buyers are less likely to extend themselves during times of economic uncertainty, further reducing the buyer pool and, again, putting pressure on the seller to “make a deal”.

And lastly, because the government has been trying to force mortgage rates down as a way to stimulate the economy, the weak housing data is actually making it cheaper to finance a home. This means that a well-qualified home buyer can better stay within budget.

Each 0.500 percent rate reduction saves $33 per $100,000 borrowed.

It is important to remember, though, that the U.S. housing market is not national — it’s highly localized. This is one reason why national real estate reports can be misleading. Just as figures from Phoenix have little to do with statistics from St. Paul, even data from neighboring ZIP codes can vary.

The universal truth, however, is that a home that is priced fairly will sell more quickly than a home that is not. And, until the Super Bowl passes in 45 days, expect fewer buyers to be out there competing for them.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal Online)

Real Estate

Streamlined Modifications – Will it Help?

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced today that a major program designed to simplify and streamline loan modifications for struggling homeowners to prevent foreclosures had been established. The collaboration between Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRM), Federal Home Loan Banks, HOPE NOW (and it’s 27 service partners), Department of Treasury, Federal Housing Administration and FHFA would be implemented by December 15th.

Who will be eligible?

1. Owner Occupied Primary Residences ONLY
2. Three or more missed payments (90 day late)
3. Has NOT Filed for Bankruptcy
4. Loan is FNM, FRM or Portfolio with Participating Investors
5. Certify economic hardship/change in financial circumstances
6. DID NOT Purposely Default to Obtain Modification

The primary objective of the new program is to make mortgage payments affordable to those who can qualify. The allowable housing debt ratio for the program is 38%. This can be achieved by the reduction in interest rate, extending the term (30 years to 40 years) and restructuring the principle balance payment structure…or any combination.

It must be noted that the main difference between the new program and the HOPE for Homeownership provision in the Home Economic Recovery Act 2008 is that it is not intended for principal balances to be forgiven. This should be more appealing to lenders; however, less incentive to homeowners that have negative equity.

Therefore, who will really benefit from the streamline modification program?

Real Estate

Doctor’s Office – The Perfect Real Estate Model

While I was sitting at the doctor’s office, it occurred to me that they have the perfect business model for real estate professionals, including us mortgage planners. Let me explain.

1. Had to schedule an appointment at the doctor’s convenience.
2. Availability is 8:30 AM – 5:00 PM.
3. Not available on weekends nor holidays.
4. Never has to answer their own phone.
5. Price is never discussed.
6. Recommendation is rarely disputed.
7. Automatic trust in their professional specialty.

Now only if consumers gave as much credence to the guidance of their real estate & mortgage professionals! The industry as a whole would be much improved and gratifying for all parties.

Real Estate

The Barath Group

…was created with the specific purpose to help homeowners achieve their dreams. We lend with integrity, customer centricity and competitiveness. Our product is ADVICE. Our special valued service is a TEAM approach through a growing synergy of influence. Our competitive edge is a qualified staff of Certified Mortgage Planning Specialists. We are trusted mortgage planners to an ever-broadening base of clients nationally.

Our vision is to become an industry leader and one of America’s premier mortgage planning companies. We will journey towards greatness with the support of people who care while openly sharing our successes.

Our clients will come to The Barath Group for personal, responsive and attentive service. We want to assure them that we will respect the confidentiality of their private choices. Additionally, our unique philosophy gives us the opportunity to enhance our relationships, to bridge paths, and to offer poignant advice. While most lenders spend their time looking for the “next” client, we spend our time implementing systems designed to nurture our client’s aspirations for all of their life successes.

Our mission is to facilitate prosperity, to empower ideal growth and to promote community stewardship. We will achieve these goals collectively by the process of our passionate interconnected outreach.

We pledge to be advocates for our customers. We want to put them at the center of everything we do. We strive to develop Clients For Life by exceeding our client’s expectations. We want our clients to be so satisfied that they become Ambassadors to our success. Accordingly, our clients will gladly REFER us to their family, friends, and business associates who are in need of a certified mortgage planning specialist.

We want to be known as Life Facilitators offering sound financial advice, implementing innovative & highly competitive mortgage strategies and fostering an affinity towards success for all. We also want it known that The Barath Group understands the value of people and that we encourage building deep relationships. In conclusion, we want to totally satisfy our customers’ mortgage needs as the gateway to their dreams.