Consumer Confidence, Economic Reports, Market Insight

Consumer Confidence Hints at Higher Home Prices & Rates

June 2, 2010 by · 1 Comment 

The Consumer Confidence Index is rising, a potentially double-edged sword for residents of Schererville Indiana and for Americans, in general.

According to The Conference Board, economic confidence is as high as it’s been since August 2007 — 4 months before the start of the recession.  Americans are optimistic again.

Confidence matters to the economy because as confidence increases, in theory, consumer spending follows.  Consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of the U.S. economy.

It’s why Wall Street is responsive to confidence data.

When consumer confidence is rising, households start to make big-ticket purchases they may have otherwise put off indefinitely. Maybe it’s a replacing old appliances; or, trading in an old automobiles; or, splurging on a vacation.

Rising confidence can also spur real estate sales.

When confidence is rising, a growing family that chose to “make do” in their 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom starter home may opt to move-up to a 4-bedroom, 3-bath instead at a slightly higher monthly carrying cost.  And there are families in every city in every state making those same decisions.

As a result, the housing market gets a boost — especially in the mid-to-upper price ranges. Values rise on higher demand for homes.

The downside is that growing confidence tends to push conforming and FHA mortgage rates up.  This is because an expanding economy draws investment dollars away from bonds and into stocks — including mortgage bonds. 

The reduced demand for mortgage-backed bonds leads bond prices to fall and mortgage rates to rise.  Sometimes by a little, sometimes by lot.

So, if you’re buying a home or thinking of a refinance, rising confidence in the economy may be a signal to act sooner rather than later.  Talk to your real estate agent and/or your loan officer about next steps and get your plan in place.

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...
Be Sociable, Share!

James K Barath, CMPS®

James K Barath is a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist®, Certified FICO® Professional, Certified Military Housing Specialist® and your FHA Home Loan Expert. He is also a graduate of Purdue University, The CMPS Institute, Dale Carnegie Human Relations Course & Napoleon Hill Foundation's PMA Science of Success Class. It's your home and your future. It's his profession and his passion. He is ready to work for your best interest. Contact James for your FREE Home Loan Approval !  His Motto: I Facilitate the American Dream Through Responsible Mortgage Lending and Financial Literacy!

More Posts - Website

Follow Me:
TwitterFacebookLinkedInPinterest

  • Get your FICO Score with Score Watch® today! Click here!

Comments

One Response to “Consumer Confidence Hints at Higher Home Prices & Rates”

Trackbacks

Check out what others are saying about this post...
  1. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by James K Barath, CMPS, WelcomeHomeNWI.com. WelcomeHomeNWI.com said: Today's Blog: According to The Conference Board, economic confidence is as high as it's been… http://goo.gl/fb/gbJ0g […]



Speak Your Mind

WelcomeHomeNWI.com